Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000147 0.000163 0.000180 0.000199 0.000221 0.000245 0.000272
2025-08-24 0.000116 0.000138 0.000164 0.000196 0.000236 0.000282 0.000342
2025-08-31 0.000095 0.000120 0.000150 0.000190 0.000242 0.000307 0.000398
2025-09-07 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143 0.000190 0.000254 0.000340 0.000465
2025-09-14 0.000076 0.000104 0.000140 0.000194 0.000270 0.000378 0.000543
2025-09-21 0.000068 0.000095 0.000133 0.000190 0.000275 0.000400 0.000600
2025-09-28 0.000060 0.000086 0.000124 0.000183 0.000274 0.000411 0.000642
2025-10-05 0.000056 0.000083 0.000122 0.000185 0.000286 0.000446 0.000723
2025-10-12 0.000053 0.000080 0.000121 0.000190 0.000302 0.000486 0.000820
2025-10-19 0.000049 0.000076 0.000117 0.000187 0.000306 0.000507 0.000885
2025-10-26 0.000046 0.000073 0.000115 0.000189 0.000319 0.000544 0.000982
2025-11-02 0.000043 0.000069 0.000111 0.000187 0.000323 0.000566 0.001055
2025-11-09 0.000040 0.000066 0.000108 0.000186 0.000330 0.000595 0.001148
2025-11-16 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000183 0.000333 0.000619 0.001234
2025-11-23 0.000034 0.000058 0.000099 0.000177 0.000330 0.000628 0.001293
2025-11-30 0.000032 0.000055 0.000097 0.000177 0.000339 0.000664 0.001412
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000181 0.000354 0.000713 0.001570
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000051 0.000093 0.000177 0.000355 0.000733 0.001664
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000048 0.000088 0.000171 0.000348 0.000736 0.001716
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000047 0.000087 0.000173 0.000361 0.000783 0.001885
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000177 0.000379 0.000843 0.002097
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000174 0.000381 0.000867 0.002218
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000043 0.000084 0.000177 0.000394 0.000919 0.002427